Netanyahu gains ground in Polymarket pricing for Israel’s next prime minister
DeFi Rate lists the Netanyahu outcome among the biggest seven-day movers on its board, rising from 28 percent to 42 percent. The Polymarket US version of the same market prices Netanyahu at 39 percent.
Benjamin Netanyahu’s implied probability of becoming Prime Minister of Israel after the next election reached 42 percent on Polymarket, according to DeFi Rate. That represents a rise of 14 percentage points over seven days.
A sharp weekly move
DeFi Rate placed the Netanyahu outcome among the biggest seven-day movers on its board. Its price rose from 28 percent to 42 percent over that period.
The figures appeared in an update published Nov 1, 2026 · 12:30 AM ET. The supplied summary does not identify a reason for the change.
US pricing sits lower
The Polymarket US version of the same market priced Netanyahu at 39 percent, according to DeFi Rate. That is three percentage points below the 42 percent price on Polymarket.
Both prices remain below 50 percent despite the reported weekly gain. The summary does not provide prices for other outcomes or a seven-day comparison for the US version.
What it means for prediction markets
- The move from 28 percent to 42 percent marks a substantial shift in Netanyahu’s market-implied probability, not a confirmed electoral outcome.
- The three-percentage-point gap between Polymarket and its US version means the two quoted prices are not interchangeable.
- Without other outcome prices or an explanation for the move, the figures alone do not establish Netanyahu’s relative standing or what drove the repricing.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- DeFi Ratedefirate.com
- Publisher
- https://defirate.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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