Philadelphia win the Pro Football NFC East Division priced at 15.0% on Kalshi, down 3 points, on $1.4M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Philadelphia divisional contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead — it has…
Philadelphia’s Kalshi contract to win the Pro Football NFC East Division was priced at 15.0%, down 3 probability points, with $1.4M traded, in the update published Oct 20, 2026, at 7:54 AM ET. According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among the sports category’s downward movers.
A decline over 24 hours
The change reflects a 24-hour comparison, rather than a 3% relative decline. PredictionBubbles ranks contracts by the size of their probability-point movement, keeping the direction of the move separate from the level at which an outcome is priced.
The supplied material does not identify a Philadelphia-specific catalyst for the decline. It also does not specify the period covered by the headline’s $1.4M traded figure, limiting what that number can establish about activity during the repricing.
How the board measures movement
According to PredictionBubbles, the board’s venue-price snapshot was taken on 20 Oct 2026 at 11:40 UTC, with updates every 15 minutes. Its rankings cover 2,025 markets lasting longer than 14 days across Kalshi and Polymarket, excluding same-week fixtures to avoid having near-settlement swings dominate the comparisons.
Only open contracts with a valid price comparison from 24 hours earlier qualify for the rankings. Trading volume and liquidity provide context but do not determine placement, so Philadelphia’s inclusion signals a price decline—not a ranking of its trading activity.
What it means for prediction markets
- Price and movement answer different questions: 15.0% is the reported market-implied probability; the 3-point decline measures how that assessment changed over 24 hours.
- Volume alone does not establish depth: the $1.4M traded figure does not show how much liquidity was available when prices moved.
- The cause remains unverified: the supplied reporting documents repricing but offers no team-specific explanation or evidence that the move predicts the eventual division winner.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
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