Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC Championship priced at 10.0% on Kalshi, down 4 points, on $1.1M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the conference-championship contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category — it has not appeared in any…
The Kalshi contract on Los Angeles R winning the Pro Football NFC Championship was priced at 10.0%, down 4 probability points over 24 hours, with $1.1M traded. According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among the declining sports markets on its movers board.
The update was published on Oct 20, 2026, at 6:54 AM ET. PredictionBubbles’ supplied board snapshot records venue data collected on 20 Oct 2026, 10:40 UTC; the site refreshes its figures every 15 minutes.
How the move is measured
PredictionBubbles ranks contracts by the size of their 24-hour probability-point changes, rather than relative percentage changes. The Los Angeles R decline therefore represents a 4-point reduction in the market’s implied probability—not a 4% relative fall.
The board draws prices from Kalshi and Polymarket and covers 2,023 markets with lifespans longer than 14 days. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify for the rankings, according to PredictionBubbles.
What the data does—and does not—show
The $1.1M traded provides activity context, but volume does not determine a contract’s place in the movers ranking. PredictionBubbles treats price movement and trading activity as separate measures; the supplied material does not specify the period covered by this contract’s reported volume.
The material also identifies no team news or other event explaining the decline. The available evidence establishes a lower market price, but not the reason traders changed their assessment.
What it means for prediction markets
- Lower implied probability: The 10.0% price reflects a weaker market assessment of Los Angeles R winning the Pro Football NFC Championship than 24 hours earlier.
- Volume is not liquidity: The $1.1M traded does not, by itself, establish order-book depth or explain the 4-point move.
- A snapshot, not a result: The figures capture a particular refresh of a continuously repricing contract; they do not establish the eventual championship outcome.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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