Ole Miss win the College Football Playoff National Championship priced at 3.0% on Kalshi, up 1.0 points, on $6.5M traded
PredictionBubbles' sports board, fresh on its Oct. 28, 16:26 UTC read, lists the Ole Miss championship contract among its traded sports markets, in a sports markets…
Ole Miss was priced at a 3.0% market-implied chance of winning the College Football Playoff National Championship on Kalshi, up 1.0 percentage points over the last 24 hours, according to PredictionBubbles. The contract had $6.5M in total traded volume.
The figures accompany an Oct. 28, 2026 update published at 12:24 PM ET, with the summary identifying the sports board’s latest read as Oct. 28 at 16:26 UTC. They represent a pricing snapshot, rather than a guaranteed outcome.
A modest rise in a low-probability contract
The move leaves Ole Miss with a low market-implied championship probability despite the increase. The supplied material does not identify a team development or other catalyst behind the repricing.
PredictionBubbles distinguishes its 24-hour probability changes from total traded volume. The $6.5M figure therefore should not be read as money traded during the latest day or as a measure of buying specifically in favor of Ole Miss.
How the board frames the market
According to PredictionBubbles, its sports page tracks 537 open markets across Kalshi and Polymarket: 203 from Kalshi and 334 from Polymarket. Its embedded display features the 300 largest markets by volume, while the full board provides the broader set.
The service refreshes its published data every 15 minutes, although trading on the exchanges continues between updates. PredictionBubbles aggregates exchange prices rather than setting bookmaker lines or accepting wagers.
What it means for prediction markets
- Direction and level are distinct: Ole Miss gained 1.0 percentage points over 24 hours, but its quoted championship probability remained 3.0%.
- Volume is cumulative: The $6.5M total does not establish how much trading accompanied the latest price move.
- Timing matters: The board’s 15-minute refresh cycle means displayed probabilities can lag subsequent exchange trades.
- Cross-venue comparisons require care: PredictionBubbles notes that related Kalshi and Polymarket contracts can have different wording and resolution rules.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/sports/
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