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Ohio State championship pricing diverges sharply across prediction venues

The gap is the widest Rivo currently tracks between venues on a major market, ahead of an 8-point gap in the Alaska Senate market. Rivo reads prices across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini every five minutes.

Ohio State’s price in the College Football Championship market stands at 4 cents on Polymarket US and 16 cents on Gemini, according to Rivo. The difference between the two venues is 12 points.

Largest tracked gap

In the update published Nov 6, 2026 at 12:15 PM ET, Rivo identifies that spread as the widest it currently tracks between venues on a major market.

The Ohio State difference exceeds an 8-point gap in the Alaska Senate market, the next-largest comparison cited in the summary.

Five-minute monitoring

Rivo reads prices across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini every five minutes. The supplied summary gives Ohio State prices for Polymarket US and Gemini, but does not specify a corresponding Kalshi price.

The summary does not explain the divergence or provide contract terms, available trading volume or transaction costs. Those omissions limit what readers can conclude from the price comparison alone.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 12-point difference makes venue selection material to the displayed price of Ohio State’s championship outcome.
  • Rivo’s five-minute sampling provides recurring comparisons, but the supplied snapshot does not establish how long the gap has persisted.
  • Without contract terms and execution details, the reported spread alone does not demonstrate an actionable arbitrage opportunity.
KalshiPolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Rivo
    Publisher
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    Source URL
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