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November 5 volume stands at $1.41B so far across venues, with Kalshi accounting for $1.29B of it

DeFi Rate's volume tracker, read this run, puts November 5 trading so far at $1.41B across the venues it tracks, with Kalshi at $1.29B, DraftKings Predictions at $52M,…

A Kalshi contract tied to the S&P 500 closing between 8,000 and 8,199.99 on December 31, 2026 was priced at 17c, according to PredictionMarketPicks. The price was up 5c over 24 hours, with 17K contracts traded.

A defined year-end outcome

The PredictionMarketPicks leaderboard placed the contract among its top economics markets by volume. The supplied update was published on Nov 5, 2026 · 4:24 AM ET.

The contract concerns a specific closing range on a specific date, rather than simply whether the S&P 500 rises or falls. Its outcome therefore depends on the index finishing within the stated band on December 31, 2026.

Price movement and its limits

The 5c increase indicates a higher market price for that outcome over the reported 24-hour period. The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst or provide prices for other year-end closing ranges, limiting comparisons across possible outcomes.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Range matters: The relevant outcome is a close between 8,000 and 8,199.99, not merely a close above 8,000.
  • Price is not certainty: The 17c quote reflects the market’s pricing of the defined outcome, not a guarantee of the year-end index level.
  • Volume provides limited context: The 17K contracts traded and leaderboard placement establish activity, but the summary does not provide order-book depth or bid-ask spreads.
PredictionMarketsKalshiPolymarketDraftKingsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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