Barringer leads North Carolina district pricing after sharp market shift
Polyguana reports the North Carolina 13th district was among the largest 24-hour moves on its live House board, pricing Democrat Paul Barringer at 68 percent against Republican Brad Knott at 33 percent in a race rated a flip from Republican to Democratic hands. The board showed about 137,000 dollars of volume in the race over the past 24 hours.
Democrat Paul Barringer was priced at 68 percent against Republican Brad Knott at 33 percent in North Carolina’s 13th district, according to Polyguana’s Nov 3, 2026 update, published at 7:30 PM ET.
The race registered a 35.5-point swing over 24 hours, placing it among the largest moves on Polyguana’s live House board.
Market pricing points toward a Democratic flip
Polyguana’s board rated the contest as a flip from Republican to Democratic hands. That assessment accompanied pricing that put Barringer ahead of Knott, rather than a reported election result.
The board recorded about $137,000 in volume for the race over the past 24 hours. The supplied summary does not identify what drove the repricing or provide further detail on the trading activity.
What it means for prediction markets
- A substantial repricing: The 35.5-point move made the district a notable source of volatility on Polyguana’s House board.
- A potential change in party control: The board’s flip rating and Barringer’s 68 percent pricing reflected expectations favoring a Democratic gain, not confirmation of one.
- Limited context: The reported volume establishes the scale of recent activity, but the available information does not explain the move’s catalyst.
Sources & attribution
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- Polyguana
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