Next four highest-volume markets are all 1-2% longshots above $52M each
PicksByOdds' Oct. 15 note puts Jesus Christ returning before 2027, LeBron James winning the 2028 presidential election, and Oprah Winfrey or Bernie Sanders taking the…
High volume, low implied chances
Four markets identified as the next highest-volume contracts each exceed $52M in volume despite pricing their outcomes at just 1–2%, according to the supplied headline accompanying PicksByOdds’ Oct. 15, 2026 note.
The accompanying summary names markets on Jesus Christ returning before 2027 and LeBron James winning the 2028 presidential election. It also mentions Oprah Winfrey and Bernie Sanders, but cuts off before specifying their respective outcomes.
Source excerpt covers a different contract
The supplied picksbyodds.com excerpt instead concerns whether the Eastern Pacific will record more than 6 hurricanes of category 3 or above in 2026. For the “Above 6” outcome, PicksByOdds reports that YES has moved 69.0 percentage points since its archive began.
That excerpt does not specify the direction of the move, the starting probability or the current price. PicksByOdds labels the information a research signal rather than trading advice. It provides no supporting detail for the four longshot markets described in the headline, leaving their individual volumes and ranking unverified in the available material.
What it means for prediction markets
- The headline pairs substantial volume—above $52M each—with probabilities of 1–2%. High activity should not be confused with a high assessed likelihood of an outcome.
- The truncated summary and unrelated source excerpt limit comparisons: the available material does not establish each longshot’s exact price, volume or full resolution terms.
- The hurricane contract’s reported 69.0-percentage-point move is a change over an unspecified archive period, not a statement of its current probability.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Picksbyodds (picksbyodds.com)https://picksbyodds.com/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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