Benitez-Thompson leads Nevada open-seat market after sharp pricing shift
Polyguana prices Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson at 73.5 percent against Republican David Flippo at 23.5 percent in Nevada's open 2nd district, a 46 point move over 24 hours that would flip the seat from Republicans. About 37,400 dollars traded in the market over the last 24 hours.
According to Polyguana, Democrat Teresa Benitez-Thompson was priced at 73.5 percent in the market for Nevada’s open 2nd district House seat, compared with 23.5 percent for Republican David Flippo.
The snapshot, published Nov 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET, put Benitez-Thompson ahead in a contest where a Democratic victory would flip the seat from Republicans.
A large move in a single day
Polyguana reported a 46-point move over 24 hours. That shift marks a substantial change in the market’s assessment, but the supplied summary does not identify what drove the repricing.
About 37,400 dollars traded in the market over the last 24 hours, according to Polyguana. The figures describe market activity and pricing, rather than a confirmed election outcome.
What it means for prediction markets
- A potential party change: Benitez-Thompson’s 73.5 percent price places a Democratic flip ahead of a Republican hold in this market.
- Rapid repricing: The reported 46-point move over 24 hours shows how sharply the market’s assessment changed within that period; its cause is not provided.
- Limited context: About 37,400 dollars in trading provides a measure of activity, but the summary supplies no information about market depth or the number of participants.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- Polyguana
- Publisher
- The publisher did not list a web address.
- Source URL
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