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Netanyahu departure contract leads tracked markets with $124.9 million traded

World Monitor ranks the market as the most traded among 50 Polymarket and Kalshi markets it tracks on October 31, with 468.4 million dollars traded across all tracked markets. The contract closes on January 1, 2027.

A Polymarket contract on whether Netanyahu will be out by the end of 2026 was priced at 18.5 percent, according to World Monitor’s October 31 snapshot. The market had recorded $124.9 million in trading volume.

World Monitor ranked the contract as the most traded of the 50 Polymarket and Kalshi markets it tracks. The ranking applies to that monitored group, rather than necessarily to all contracts on either platform.

Volume and deadline

Trading across all tracked markets totaled $468.4 million, according to World Monitor. The Netanyahu contract therefore accounted for more than a quarter of the reported aggregate volume.

The update was published on Oct 31, 2026, at 5:30 PM ET. While the proposition concerns Netanyahu being out by the end of 2026, the contract closes on January 1, 2027.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Price and activity tell different stories: The 18.5 percent price sits alongside the highest trading volume in World Monitor’s tracked group; turnover alone does not establish the likelihood of the outcome.
  • The ranking has a defined scope: The comparison covers 50 markets across Polymarket and Kalshi, not a stated platform-wide universe.
  • Resolution details remain unspecified: The supplied summary gives the contract’s closing date but does not explain precisely what qualifies as Netanyahu being “out.”
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    World Monitor
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