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Hurricane contracts diverge sharply among aggregated board’s biggest movers

The contract is listed among the biggest movers since the archive started, alongside a 31 point fall for the more than 11 hurricanes contract to 11 cents. The moves are shown as research signals from the aggregated board.

Two hurricane contracts have moved in opposite directions since the archive started, according to PicksByOdds. The contract for more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above rose 31 points to 34 cents.

The summary, published Oct 31, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, also records a 31 point decline in the more than 11 hurricanes contract, leaving it at 11 cents.

Opposing moves across hurricane thresholds

Both contracts appear among the biggest movers over the period since the archive started, according to PicksByOdds. The reported changes therefore describe that archive-based window, rather than an identified daily trading interval.

The aggregated board presents the moves as research signals. The supplied material does not identify what drove the changes or provide the contracts’ full resolution terms.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The reported prices are 34 cents for more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above and 11 cents for more than 11 hurricanes.
  • The equal-sized, opposite-direction moves show a divergence between the two contracts over the archive period; they do not establish its cause.
  • Without full resolution terms, readers cannot confirm from the summary alone whether the contracts are directly comparable beyond their stated hurricane thresholds.
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