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Alme holds strong Montana Senate market lead as prices soften

Nijinn reports Alme trades at 90.5 percent on Polymarket and 89 percent on Kalshi against Seth Bodnar, with 2.4 million dollars traded on the race. The price has eased 1.2 points in 24 hours and 1.9 points over seven days.

Kurt Alme remains heavily favored against Seth Bodnar in Montana Senate prediction markets, according to Nijinn, despite a decline in the reported price over the past day and week.

Platforms put Alme near 90 percent

Nijinn’s Nov 3, 2026 update, published at 11:30 AM ET, puts Alme at 90.5 percent on Polymarket and 89 percent on Kalshi.

The report lists 2.4 million dollars traded on the race. The supplied summary does not break that volume down by platform.

Lead persists despite recent easing

The reported price has fallen 1.2 points in 24 hours and 1.9 points over seven days, according to Nijinn. The summary does not identify which platform or combined measure those changes describe.

Both platforms nevertheless continue to price Alme well above Bodnar. The recent easing marks a reduction in that confidence, rather than a change in the market favorite.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Polymarket and Kalshi both place Alme near 90 percent, showing broadly similar assessments of the race.
  • The 24-hour and seven-day declines indicate softer pricing, but the summary does not establish what drove the moves.
  • The 2.4 million dollars in reported trading provides activity context; without a platform breakdown, it does not show how that activity is distributed.
KalshiPolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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  1. Source
    Nijinn
    Publisher
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