Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027 priced at 19.5% on Polymarket, up 6.0 points, on $180K traded

Missouri moratorium odds rise

The Polymarket contract on whether Missouri will enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027 was priced at 19.5%, up 6.0 percentage points, with $180K traded in the supplied Oct. 28, 2026 snapshot. The move raised the market’s implied probability while leaving enactment the less likely outcome.

According to PredictionBubbles, the Missouri contract appeared among political markets on its movers board. The accompanying summary identifies an Oct. 28, 20:25 UTC crawl using data read at 19:41 UTC; the supplied source page separately displays a later venue-data timestamp of 28 Oct 2026, 20:42 UTC. Those timestamps should not be treated as a single observation.

What the move establishes

PredictionBubbles ranks changes over 24 hours in probability points, rather than relative percentages, and refreshes its board every 15 minutes using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. Trading volume provides context but does not determine a market’s position in the ranking.

The supplied material does not identify a Missouri policy announcement, legislative development or other catalyst for the repricing. It also does not provide the contract’s settlement criteria or specify the measurement period for the reported $180K in trading. The available evidence therefore establishes a price move, not a change in the state’s legal position.

What it means for prediction markets

• Probability, not confirmation: The 19.5% price indicates that traders still priced enactment by December 31, 2027 as the less likely outcome, despite the 6.0-point increase.
• Volume has limits: The reported $180K supplies trading context, but without order-book depth or a defined volume window, it cannot establish how much activity drove the move.
• Timing matters: The differing snapshot timestamps limit direct comparisons between the headline figures and the later source-page refresh.
• Resolution details remain missing: The supplied material does not establish precisely what action would qualify as enactment of a data center moratorium.