Minnesota wins priced at 61.0% on Kalshi, up 31.0 points, on $785K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Minnesota win contract among its largest upward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has zero…
Minnesota’s win contract on Kalshi was priced at 61.0%, up 31.0 probability points, with $785K traded, according to the supplied market headline published Oct 24, 2026, at 6:24 PM ET. PredictionBubbles’ movers board placed the contract among its largest upward sports moves, according to the accompanying summary.
A sharp move, with limited event detail
The supplied material does not identify Minnesota’s opponent, the competition or the contract’s settlement terms. It also provides no event-specific reporting explaining the repricing, limiting what can be concluded about its cause.
According to PredictionBubbles, its board measures changes over 24 hours using prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, with updates every 15 minutes. The supplied page records a venue-data snapshot of 24 Oct 2026, 22:13 UTC.
What the ranking measures
PredictionBubbles ranks markets by the size of their probability-point changes, rather than relative percentage gains. Trading volume and liquidity provide context but do not determine placement. Minnesota’s 31.0-point increase therefore describes a change in its market-implied probability, not a 31.0% relative gain.
The board’s stated coverage includes 1,971 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify. Its displayed table contains the top 150 of 452 markets moving at least one probability point.
The $785K trading figure adds context to Minnesota’s move, but the supplied contract details do not establish order-book depth or identify a catalyst. The available evidence supports a substantial repricing—not an explanation for why traders changed their assessment.
What it means for prediction markets
- Price is not certainty: The 61.0% reading reflects the contract’s market-implied probability at the reported time, not a confirmed outcome.
- Movement and activity are separate: The 31.0-point increase measures repricing; the $785K figure measures trading activity. Neither establishes available liquidity.
- Contract details remain essential: Without the opponent, competition and settlement terms, readers cannot fully assess what the Minnesota price represents.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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