Johnson narrowly leads Finstad in Minnesota’s closest-priced House contest
Polyguana prices Democrat Jake Johnson at 51 percent in Minnesota's 1st district against Republican Brad Finstad at 50 percent, the tightest House margin on the live board in the late evening read.
According to Polyguana, Democrat Jake Johnson was priced at 51 percent in Minnesota’s 1st district, compared with 50 percent for Republican Brad Finstad.
The snapshot, published Nov 3, 2026 · 11:00 PM ET, placed Johnson just one percentage point ahead of Finstad in the market.
A narrow late-evening gap
Polyguana identified the Minnesota’s 1st district contest as the tightest House margin on its live board in the late-evening reading. That comparison describes the market’s pricing gap, not a reported vote margin.
The supplied summary provides no earlier prices or trading-volume figures. It therefore does not establish whether Johnson’s slight advantage reflected a recent shift or a sustained position.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 51 percent and 50 percent prices indicate an almost evenly priced contest, rather than a decisive market favorite.
- The two reported figures total 101 percent; the summary does not explain that total or provide details about how the prices were calculated.
- The reading is a dated snapshot. It does not establish an election result or show how the market moved afterward.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- Polyguana
- Publisher
- The publisher did not list a web address.
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
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