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Heat championship contract shows six-point pricing gap across prediction venues

Rivo lists the Heat contract among the widest cross-venue gaps on its November 6 arbitrage board, which reads prices from every venue every five minutes. Prices were read at 6:53 AM ET on November 6.

A Miami Heat NBA Championship contract was priced at 1 cent on Polymarket US and 7 cents on Gemini, a 6-point difference, according to Rivo.

A snapshot of cross-venue pricing

Rivo placed the Heat contract among the widest cross-venue gaps on its November 6 arbitrage board. The listed prices were read at 6:53 AM ET on November 6.

The board reads prices from every venue every five minutes, according to Rivo. That makes the reported gap a time-specific comparison, rather than evidence that the difference persisted.

The report was published on Nov 6, 2026, at 8:45 AM ET. The supplied summary contains no additional contract terms or execution details, limiting what can be concluded beyond the observed price difference.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Venue pricing differed materially: The same named Heat championship contract appeared at 1 cent on Polymarket US versus 7 cents on Gemini.
  • Timing matters: The comparison reflects the 6:53 AM ET reading, not necessarily prices at publication.
  • A listed gap is not a confirmed executable opportunity: The supplied material does not establish whether matching terms or execution conditions would allow participants to capture the difference.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Rivo
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Rivo”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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