Jackson leads Maine Senate pricing as trading exceeds $22.2 million
Action Network reports the Maine Senate market has topped 22.2 million dollars in volume, with Jackson priced as roughly a 2-to-1 favourite over Susan Collins at 33 cents on both exchanges ahead of the 8 p.m. poll close. In the Maine governor race on the same board, Hannah Pingree trades at 97 cents on Polymarket and 96.6 cents on Kalshi, while the governor market sits near 417,000 dollars traded.
According to Action Network, trading volume in the Maine Senate prediction market has surpassed $22.2 million, with Troy Jackson priced ahead of Susan Collins on both Polymarket and Kalshi.
Senate contracts favor Jackson
In the report published Nov 3, 2026, at 2:15 PM ET, Jackson’s contracts were priced at 69 cents on Polymarket and 68 cents on Kalshi. Collins traded at 33 cents on both exchanges.
Those prices put Jackson at roughly a 2-to-1 favorite, according to Action Network. The reported pricing comes ahead of the 8 p.m. poll close.
Governor market shows a wider lead
On the same board, Hannah Pingree’s Maine governor contracts traded at 97 cents on Polymarket and 96.6 cents on Kalshi, according to Action Network.
Trading volume in the governor market was near $417,000, substantially below the Senate market’s total. Pingree’s prices were also much closer to the top of the contract range than Jackson’s.
What it means for prediction markets
- Similar pricing across exchanges: Jackson’s contracts differed by 1 cent between Polymarket and Kalshi, while Collins had the same price on both.
- Different degrees of confidence: The Senate pricing favored Jackson but left a meaningful chance for Collins; Pingree’s governor pricing reflected a much stronger market expectation.
- Timing matters: These are reported prices ahead of the 8 p.m. poll close, not election results.
Sources & attribution
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