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Jackson gains ground in Maine Senate trading as result remains uncalled

Polyguana reports Troy Jackson has risen to 82.5 percent in the Maine Senate market against Susan Collins, up from 69 percent on both venues earlier on Election Day. Maine's polls closed at 8 p.m. ET and the race had not been called in the latest read.

Troy Jackson reached 82.5 percent in the Maine Senate prediction market against Susan Collins, according to Polyguana’s Nov 3, 2026 update published at 9:00 PM ET.

The latest reading was above the 69 percent recorded on both venues earlier on Election Day. The supplied summary does not identify the venues or specify whether the 82.5 percent reading applied to both.

Market moves ahead of a race call

Maine’s polls closed at 8 p.m. ET. Polyguana’s update therefore came an hour after voting ended, with the Senate contest still uncalled in the latest reading.

The move from 69 percent to 82.5 percent represents a 13.5-percentage-point increase. It signals a stronger market assessment of Jackson’s chances, rather than a confirmed election outcome.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A substantial repricing: Jackson’s latest probability was 13.5 percentage points above the level reported earlier on Election Day.
  • The outcome remained unsettled: The race had not been called, so the market reading should not be treated as an official result.
  • Venue detail is limited: The summary places the earlier 69 percent reading on both venues but does not establish a comparable two-venue reading at 82.5 percent.
SenateElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    Polyguana
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