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Andersson retains narrow Polymarket lead after sharp shift toward Kristersson

Andersson fell 18 points in the last 24 hours while Kristersson rose 20.8 points, with 3.1 million dollars traded on the Andersson contract and 2.3 million dollars on the Kristersson contract. Both markets are awaiting settlement.

Lead narrows as contracts await settlement

Magdalena Andersson leads Polymarket’s market for the next Prime Minister of Sweden at 52.5 percent, compared with 46.4 percent for Ulf Kristersson, according to PredictionBubbles.

The figures were published on Nov 6, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Both markets are awaiting settlement, so the reported pricing does not represent a settled outcome.

Opposing moves over 24 hours

Andersson’s probability fell 18 points in the last 24 hours, while Kristersson’s rose 20.8 points, according to PredictionBubbles. Those moves left Andersson ahead despite a substantial shift toward Kristersson.

Reported trading volume totaled 3.1 million dollars on the Andersson contract and 2.3 million dollars on the Kristersson contract. Andersson therefore retained the higher reported volume as well as the pricing lead.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Lead versus momentum: Andersson remains ahead at 52.5 percent, but the reported 24-hour changes show pricing moving sharply in Kristersson’s direction.
  • Volume is not an outcome: The larger amount traded on Andersson’s contract measures activity, not confirmation that she will become the next Prime Minister of Sweden.
  • Settlement remains pending: Neither market has settled. The supplied reporting gives no settlement timetable or explanation for the price changes.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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