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Holscher extends Kansas governor market lead to 88 percent

Polyguana reports Cindy Holscher now leads the Kansas governor market at 88 percent, up from 71 percent against Ty Masterson in the 8:30 p.m. ET read when the market flipped to the Democrat. Kansas is one of 36 governorships on the ballot tonight.

Cindy Holscher’s probability in the Kansas governor prediction market reached 88 percent, according to Polyguana’s Nov 3, 2026 update published at 9:15 PM ET.

The latest reading widened her market advantage over Ty Masterson after an earlier shift toward the Democrat.

A larger lead after the flip

At the 8:30 p.m. ET reading, Holscher stood at 71 percent against Masterson, according to Polyguana. That was the reading when the market flipped to favor the Democrat.

The move from 71 percent to 88 percent represents a 17-percentage-point increase. Kansas is one of 36 governorships on the ballot tonight.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The two readings show both a change in the market favorite and a subsequent strengthening of Holscher’s position.
  • The 88 percent figure is a market probability, not a reported vote share or an election result.
  • The supplied update provides no vote totals or explanation for the move, limiting conclusions about what drove the repricing.
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    Polyguana
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