Smith-Njigba leads listed Kalshi touchdown probabilities for Bears at Seahawks

Kalshi’s anytime touchdown market puts Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 52 percent for the Bears at Seahawks game on November 2, according to Covers. He has the highest probability among the four selections provided.

Touchdown pricing across the listed selections

Luther Burden III is priced at 29 percent, according to Covers. That places him below Smith-Njigba but above the other two selections in the supplied snapshot.

Quarterback Caleb Williams carries a 17 percent probability. The Seattle defense and special teams unit is priced at 3 percent, the lowest of the four listed outcomes.

A snapshot ahead of Monday night

The figures were published on Nov 2, 2026, at 12:45 AM ET, ahead of the Monday night matchup. They represent the reported pricing at that point, rather than a record of how expectations have changed.

The supplied information contains no earlier prices or additional touchdown selections. It therefore supports a comparison of these four probabilities, but not conclusions about market momentum or the full field.

What it means for prediction markets

• Smith-Njigba’s 52 percent price puts his listed touchdown probability just above even, while Burden III and Williams sit at 29 percent and 17 percent, respectively.
• The Seattle defense and special teams unit’s 3 percent price marks it as the least likely touchdown outcome among those provided.
• These are anytime touchdown selections, not mutually exclusive outcomes; more than one could occur in the same game.
• Without earlier pricing, the snapshot does not establish whether any selection has gained or lost market support.