Kalshi prices a December Fed rate hike at 64.5 percent, against 63.5 percent on Polymarket and 64.8 percent in fed funds futures, PredictionMarketPicks reports
PredictionMarketPicks reports the December 8 to 9 FOMC decision is priced tightly across venues in its November 5, 6:00 PM EST update, with a hold near 33 percent on Kalshi. A 25 basis point hike is the base case on both exchanges.
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