Kalshi opens next White House Press Secretary markets, all longshots at 1%
Quiet quarter-hour — no significant new platform headline in the last 15 minutes, so this fresh succession board leads, in a political category different from the…
Kalshi has opened markets on the next White House Press Secretary, with all listed contenders at 1%, according to the supplied headline dated Oct 16, 2026, at 2:54 PM ET. The accompanying summary describes a quiet preceding 15 minutes, with no significant new platform headline.
A succession board with limited detail
The supplied PredictionBubbles page does not show the press secretary contracts themselves. It provides no contender names, individual trading volumes, price histories or settlement terms for this board, limiting what can be established beyond the headline’s opening snapshot.
According to predictionbubbles.net, its broader tracker covers 2135 open markets from Kalshi and Polymarket, with prices updated every 15 minutes. Its embedded display features the 300 largest markets by traded volume, while the full board covers the entire tracked universe.
What the prices establish
The reported 1% readings place every listed contender at the same low market-implied probability. Without the complete contract list and resolution rules, however, the supplied material does not establish how comprehensively those contenders cover the possible succession outcomes.
PredictionBubbles distinguishes market prices from actual outcome probabilities and emphasizes the importance of volume, liquidity and open interest when assessing a price. None of those measures is supplied for the press secretary markets, so the snapshot does not show how much trading supports the readings.
What it means for prediction markets
- No price leader is reported: All listed contenders stand at 1%, offering no differentiation within the reported field.
- Market depth remains unknown: The material provides no contract-level volume, liquidity or open interest with which to assess the strength of that pricing.
- Settlement details are missing: The relevant deadlines and qualifying conditions cannot be determined from the supplied page.
- Updates are periodic: PredictionBubbles refreshes prices every 15 minutes, so its displayed probabilities are not a continuous tick-by-tick record.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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