Elon Musk # tweets October 13-20: the 340-359 outcome at 17% on Polymarket, on $217K traded in 24 hours

The 340-359 outcome in Polymarket’s Elon Musk tweet-count market for October 13-20 was reported at 17%, with $217K traded over 24 hours, in the supplied headline published Oct 16, 2026 · 3:09 PM ET. The accompanying summary places the weekly market 37th by 24-hour volume ahead of its Oct. 20 close.

However, the supplied Polydict listing does not corroborate those figures for that weekly contract. Its snapshot, marked Oct 16, 07:08 PM UTC, shows a different Musk counting window and assigns 37th place to a soccer market.

Different windows, different contracts

According to Polydict, the Musk market covering October 15 - October 17, 2026 ranked 38th, recorded $219K in 24-hour volume and displayed 43% for the 90-114 outcome. Its listed end date was Oct 17, 2026, with eight additional outcomes indicated.

That shorter contract is distinct from the October 13-20 weekly market described in the headline. The supplied summary also distinguishes the weekly contract from an October 9-16 count book carried earlier. Prices and trading volumes for these separate windows should not be treated as interchangeable.

What the snapshot establishes

In the provided listing, Polydict places IF Brommapojkarna vs. Djurgardens IF at number 37 with $227K in 24-hour volume. The $217K figure appears instead beside the Anthropic valuation market at number 39. The discrepancy leaves the headline’s weekly-market price, volume and ranking unverified by the accompanying source excerpt.

According to Polydict, its displayed markets trade through Polymarket’s order book and settle under Polymarket’s contracts and resolution rules. The supplied excerpt does not include the weekly Musk contract’s counting criteria or its full set of outcome prices.

What it means for prediction markets

• The reported 17% applies to the 340-359 outcome for October 13-20, but the supplied listing does not independently confirm it.
• The visible 43% price concerns the 90-114 outcome for October 15 - October 17, 2026—not the weekly contract.
• The reported $217K volume and 37th-place ranking require a matching weekly-market snapshot before they can be treated as source-verified.
• Without the weekly contract’s counting rules and remaining outcome prices, the material cannot establish either the qualifying tweet total or the broader probability distribution.