Kalshi favorites won 479 of 487 resolved midterm races for a 96.4 percent hit rate, while Polymarket favorites won 98.4 percent of settled midterm markets, Prediction News reports
Prediction News reports both platforms published their midterm accuracy tallies on November 5, with Polymarket counting 419 wins and seven losses and 78 markets still unsettled. Texas accounted for half of Kalshi's misses.
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