Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Democratic sweep pricing slips as Kalshi shows divided Congress alternative

Kalshi reports its Congress Balance of Power market at 12:32 p.m. ET priced a Democratic sweep at 73 percent, a Democratic House with a Republican Senate at 22 percent, a Republican sweep at 7 percent and a Republican House with a Democratic Senate at 1 percent. The sweep price is below the 76 percent combined board reading earlier on Election Day.

Kalshi’s Congress Balance of Power market priced a Democratic sweep at 73 percent at 12:32 p.m. ET on Nov 3, 2026, according to Kalshi. That was below the 76 percent combined board reading earlier on Election Day.

How the outcomes were priced

A Democratic House with a Republican Senate stood at 22 percent, according to Kalshi, making it the highest-priced alternative to Democratic control of both chambers.

A Republican sweep was priced at 7 percent. The remaining configuration—a Republican House with a Democratic Senate—stood at 1 percent.

Reading the snapshot

The supplied update, published Nov 3, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET, describes the market at 12:32 p.m. ET rather than at publication time. It provides an earlier comparison for the Democratic sweep reading but no earlier figures for the other three outcomes.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The Democratic sweep reading was 3 percentage points below the earlier 76 percent combined board reading, while remaining the highest-priced outcome.
  • At 22 percent, a Democratic House and Republican Senate was the leading divided-control configuration.
  • The four reported figures total 103 percent. They should be read as the supplied market snapshot, not as a normalized probability distribution.
  • The available figures do not establish how much the other outcomes moved earlier on Election Day.
KalshiSenateCongressElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related