Ceasefire continuation odds rise as November 7 contract reaches 85 percent
The November 7 ceasefire contract prices continuation at 85 percent on the WinDailySports live board, up 5.5 points in the last 24 hours.
The contract on the Israel and Iran ceasefire continuing through November 7 was priced at 85 percent on the WinDailySports live board, according to WinDailySports.
That reading was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 1:30 AM ET. The contract’s price had increased by 5.5 points over the preceding 24 hours.
A higher price for continuation
The move reflects a shift in market pricing toward the ceasefire lasting through November 7. It is not confirmation that the ceasefire will hold through that date.
The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the increase or provide trading volume, liquidity or contract-resolution criteria. Those omissions limit what can be concluded about the strength and basis of the move.
What it means for prediction markets
- Direction: The 5.5-point increase shows a higher market-implied likelihood of continuation over the reported 24-hour period.
- Time horizon: The 85 percent reading applies to the November 7 contract, not to the ceasefire’s durability beyond that date.
- Interpretation: Without volume, liquidity or resolution details, the price alone cannot establish how broadly supported the shift is.
Sources & attribution
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