Iowa's Senate race splits the venues at midday, with Kalshi favouring Hinson and Polymarket favouring Turek
ShowdownWire's Iowa Senate page, updated Nov. 3 at 11:47 AM ET and read this run, shows the two venues backing different candidates in the closest Senate race on the…
Election insider-trading questions reach their deadline
Kalshi and Polymarket face a deadline today, Election Day, to answer questions about election insider trading under the Warren-Curtis letters, according to the supplied briefing.
The briefing, published Nov 3, 2026 · 11:54 AM ET, shifts attention toward legal and regulatory questions affecting prediction platforms. It identifies no significant new prediction-platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes.
The material does not include the letters, source links or either platform’s answers. It therefore provides no basis to establish whether Kalshi or Polymarket has responded, or what positions either might take.
For prediction-market readers, the distinction is between a scheduled response deadline and a substantive development. The deadline is the focus of this update; the supplied material does not establish any resulting policy change or enforcement action.
What it means for prediction markets
- Responses remain the key unknown: The material identifies answers as due today but does not confirm their submission or contents.
- The scope is limited: Without the letters or platform responses, readers cannot assess the specific requests or their implications for election contracts.
- A deadline is not an outcome: This update alone does not establish changes to trading access, market rules or contract resolution.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source 1
- Kalshikalshi.com
- Publisher
- https://kalshi.com/markets
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
- Source 2
- Polymarketpolymarket.com
- Publisher
- https://polymarket.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Arizona's 2nd district is the tightest fresh House market on the afternoon board, with Eli Crane at 54c on Kalshi
- Kalshi midterm contracts traded climb to 395.5M into the afternoon, with 61.9M contracts traded in the last 24 hours
- Veda Partners analyst expects Republicans to hold the Senate 50-50 with Vice President Vance breaking ties, against market pricing near 78 percent for Democrats, MarketWatch reports
- PredictIt prices Democrats at 79 cents for Senate control and 94 cents for the House, with 1.6 million shares traded on the House market, PredictIt reports
- Kalshi is the only published number in many Colorado congressional races, pricing Melat Kiros at 99 percent in the 1st district and Phil Weiser at 96.1 percent for governor, Coloradoan reports
- Polymarket seat-count market prices Republicans at 47 Senate seats or fewer at 55.5 percent on 1.29 million dollars traded, PolymarketTrader reports