Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch priced at 17.5% on Polymarket, down 15.5 points, on $182K traded

The Polymarket contract asking whether Ink’s fully diluted valuation (FDV) will exceed $100M one day after launch was priced at 17.5%, down 15.5 percentage points, with $182K traded, in the Oct 22, 2026 · 12:54 AM ET snapshot.

According to PredictionBubbles, the contract ranked among the largest downward moves on its crypto board. The board measures probability changes over the preceding 24 hours, rather than changes in token prices.

A valuation threshold, not a token-price reading

The contract concerns a specific valuation threshold at a specific point after launch. Its 17.5% price represents the market-implied probability of that outcome—not Ink’s valuation itself or a percentage change in its token price.

The supplied material does not identify a catalyst for the decline, provide a launch date or include the contract’s detailed resolution rules. It therefore establishes the repricing without explaining what drove it.

Where the move sits

According to PredictionBubbles, its crypto page tracked 265 open markets: 77 from Kalshi and 188 from Polymarket. Its data refreshes every 15 minutes, while trading on the underlying venues continues between updates.

The site separates rankings by absolute 24-hour probability movement from rankings by total traded volume. Ink’s $182K figure is total traded volume, not a measure of trading during the selloff or evidence of how much money caused the probability to fall.

What it means for prediction markets

• The move is in probability points: The 15.5-point decline reflects lower market-implied odds of Ink exceeding $100M FDV one day after launch.
• Timing and settlement matter: The threshold alone does not fully describe the contract; the supplied material does not include its detailed resolution rules.
• Volume and freshness have limits: The $182K is total traded volume, and the board’s 15-minute refresh cycle means displayed odds can lag trading on Polymarket.