Houston win the 2027 Pro Football Championship priced at 2.0% on Kalshi, up 1.0 points, on $9.6M traded
PredictionBubbles' sports board, on its Oct. 30, 00:42 UTC crawl at 556 open markets with $766.2M traded, lists the Houston championship contract among its most-traded…
Houston’s contract to win the 2027 Pro Football Championship was priced at a 2.0% implied probability on Kalshi, up 1.0 percentage points, with $9.6M traded, according to PredictionBubbles. The contract appeared among the sports board’s most-traded markets.
Houston draws volume despite a low probability
The Oct. 30, 00:42 UTC crawl cited in the summary covered 556 open markets with $766.2M traded. Houston’s price still implied a low likelihood of winning the championship, despite the increase.
PredictionBubbles defines its probability-change measure as the movement over the preceding 24 hours. Its volume ranking, by contrast, reflects total trading rather than the size of a price move. Houston’s $9.6M figure therefore should not be read as money traded during that daily increase.
Different snapshots of the sports board
The supplied PredictionBubbles page reports a different board count: 590 open sports markets, comprising 246 on Kalshi and 344 on Polymarket. Those figures are distinct from the crawl cited in the summary and should not be treated as a single snapshot.
According to PredictionBubbles, its data refreshes every 15 minutes, while trading on the underlying exchanges continues between updates. The page identifies the contract on Shakhtar Donetsk winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship as its largest sports market by volume at the last refresh, with $37.2M traded on Polymarket.
PredictionBubbles aggregates exchange prices rather than accepting wagers or holding funds. It also cautions that related contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket can have different wording and resolution rules, limiting direct comparisons.
What it means for prediction markets
- Price and activity convey different information: Houston’s 2.0% implied probability indicates a low-priced outcome; $9.6M in total volume measures trading activity, not confidence in a win.
- The move has no identified catalyst: The supplied material records the 1.0-percentage-point increase but provides no Houston-specific news explaining it.
- Timing matters: The 556-market crawl and the 590-market page represent different snapshots. Prices and board totals should be compared using matching timestamps.
- Contract terms matter across venues: Similar championship questions are not necessarily interchangeable if their wording or settlement rules differ.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/sports/
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