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The Green Bay wins contract on Kalshi was priced at 21.0%, down 17.0 probability points over 24 hours, with $15.1M traded, according to PredictionBubbles’ movers board. The sports contract led the board’s most-active list by traded volume.
Heavy activity, lower implied probability
The volume ranking and the probability decline measure different things. PredictionBubbles ranks its most-active markets by 24-hour turnover, while its movers rankings use the absolute change in implied probability. Green Bay’s lead in trading activity therefore does not establish that it had the board’s largest price move.
The supplied material does not identify the contract’s precise underlying event, settlement terms or a catalyst for the decline. It supports a finding of substantial trading alongside a lower market-implied probability, but not an explanation tied to a particular sporting development.
How to read the snapshot
According to PredictionBubbles, the board draws prices from Polymarket and Kalshi and updates every 15 minutes. The supplied snapshot records venue data read on 25 Oct 2026, 22:47 UTC; the story’s publication timestamp is Oct 25, 2026 · 7:09 PM ET.
The site describes its ranking universe as 1,983 markets lasting longer than 14 days, excluding same-week fixtures. Its movement rankings require an open contract and a valid 24-hour comparison, leaving out resolved markets and those too new to have a day-old baseline. Those filters limit what a board-leading position says about activity across prediction markets more broadly.
What it means for prediction markets
The decline is measured in points: Green Bay’s 17.0-point drop is a change in implied probability, not a 17.0% relative decrease.
Turnover and movement are separate signals: The $15.1M traded establishes activity on the board, but does not by itself establish order-book depth or explain the repricing.
Contract details remain essential: Without the underlying event and settlement terms, the 21.0% price should not be interpreted as the probability of an unspecified Green Bay result.
The figures are a snapshot: The board refreshes every 15 minutes, so the reported price and ranking refer to the supplied observation rather than a settled outcome.