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Grand Theft Auto VI holds strong lead across two prediction venues

Grand Theft Auto VI is the clear favorite in the cross-venue Game of the Year market, priced at 86 cents on Kalshi against 89 cents on Polymarket. The two venues are separated by only 3 cents on the culture board's leading title.

Grand Theft Auto VI is the clear favorite in the 2026 Game of the Year market, according to ArbTrader, with prices above 85 cents on both Kalshi and Polymarket.

Two venues, a narrow gap

ArbTrader’s update, published Nov 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, put the title at 86 cents on Kalshi and 89 cents on Polymarket.

That leaves a 3-cent difference between the venues for the culture board’s leading title. Polymarket carries the higher price, while both markets point toward the same favorite.

The supplied summary does not include prices for competing titles, trading volumes or contract settlement terms. It therefore provides a snapshot of Grand Theft Auto VI’s standing, rather than a basis for assessing changes in sentiment or the comparability of the contracts.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Favorite status is consistent across venues: Kalshi’s 86-cent price and Polymarket’s 89-cent price both place Grand Theft Auto VI in a strong position.
  • The cross-venue spread is small: The reported difference is 3 cents, with Polymarket pricing the title higher.
  • Contract details remain important: Without settlement terms or execution data, the price gap alone does not establish an actionable arbitrage opportunity.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    ArbTrader
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