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Bottoms holds Georgia market lead as Jackson gains and poll ties

Action Network reports Jackson gained 2 points on each board, with Bottoms down 3 points on Polymarket and 2 points on Kalshi, while a closing InsiderAdvantage survey had the governor race dead even at 49 percent each. In the Georgia Senate race on the same board, Jon Ossoff trades at 97 cents on Polymarket and 96.6 cents on Kalshi against Mike Collins.

Keisha Lance Bottoms remains ahead in Georgia’s governor prediction markets, but Rick Jackson has narrowed the gap. According to Action Network, Bottoms trades at 68 cents on both Polymarket and Kalshi.

Jackson gained 2 points on each exchange, while Bottoms fell 3 points on Polymarket and 2 points on Kalshi. The report was published Nov 3, 2026, at 2:15 PM ET.

Governor polling contrasts with market pricing

A closing InsiderAdvantage survey put the governor contest at 49 percent for each candidate, according to Action Network. That leaves a contrast between the tied poll and market prices that continue to favor Bottoms.

The Georgia Senate race shows a more pronounced market favorite. On the same board, Jon Ossoff trades at 97 cents on Polymarket and 96.6 cents on Kalshi against Mike Collins, according to Action Network.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Bottoms’ identical 68-cent prices show agreement across the two exchanges, despite different declines. Jackson’s 2-point gains on both boards indicate movement in the same direction.
  • The InsiderAdvantage tie and Bottoms’ market lead are distinct signals: the survey measures voter preference, while contract prices reflect expectations about the outcome.
  • Ossoff’s prices place him closer to the top of the pricing range than Bottoms, highlighting the different expectations attached to Georgia’s Senate and governor contests.
KalshiPolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Action Networkactionnetwork.com
    Publisher
    https://www.actionnetwork.com
    Source URL
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