Donalds loses ground in Florida governor contracts across two prediction markets
WinDaily Sports reports prices updated at 11:32 a.m. ET on November 3 put Republican Byron Donalds at 64 cents on Polymarket and 63 cents on Kalshi for Florida governor, down from 80 cents and 79 cents seven days earlier, with Democrat David Jolly at 38 cents on both venues. The market resolves on the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
Republican Byron Donalds remains ahead in Florida governor pricing on Polymarket and Kalshi, but his contracts have fallen from their levels seven days earlier, according to WinDaily Sports.
Prices retreat on both venues
Prices updated at 11:32 a.m. ET on November 3 put Donalds at 64 cents on Polymarket and 63 cents on Kalshi. Seven days earlier, those prices were 80 cents and 79 cents, respectively.
Democrat David Jolly was priced at 38 cents on both venues, according to WinDaily Sports. The supplied summary does not give his prices from seven days earlier.
Election winner determines settlement
The market resolves on the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. The reported prices therefore concern the election outcome, rather than a candidate’s vote share or margin of victory.
WinDaily Sports’ report was published on Nov 3, 2026, at 12:30 PM ET. Its pricing snapshot was taken earlier that morning and should not be treated as a subsequent update or an election result.
What it means for prediction markets
- Donalds’ contracts declined by 16 cents on each venue over seven days, showing a consistent shift in pricing across the two platforms.
- Donalds still traded above Jolly on both venues at the reported snapshot, despite that decline.
- The summary provides no explanation for the repricing and no earlier Jolly prices, limiting conclusions about its cause or the trajectory of his contracts.
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