Denver win the Pro Football AFC Championship priced at 7.0% on Kalshi, down 3 points, on $955K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Denver conference-championship contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead —…
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Denver’s contract to win the Pro Football AFC Championship was priced at 7.0% on Kalshi, down 3 percentage points over 24 hours, with $955K traded. According to PredictionBubbles’ movers board, the contract was among the declining sports markets.
The update was published on Oct 22, 2026, at 3:54 AM ET. The supplied board snapshot shows venue prices collected on 22 Oct 2026 at 07:40 UTC; PredictionBubbles refreshes its data every 15 minutes.
How the move is measured
PredictionBubbles ranks changes by their size in probability points, rather than by relative percentage returns. Denver’s 3-point decline therefore measures a shift in the contract’s market-implied probability, not a 3% relative fall.
The board covers Polymarket and Kalshi and ranks 2,024 markets with lifespans longer than 14 days. It excludes same-week fixtures and requires an open market with a valid price comparison from 24 hours earlier. In the supplied snapshot, its main table displays the top 150 of 483 markets moving by at least one probability point.
What the snapshot does—and does not—show
Denver appears in the sports category rather than as the board’s overall lead move. PredictionBubbles uses volume and liquidity as context, but neither changes a contract’s position in its movement rankings.
The supplied material does not identify a Denver-specific development behind the decline or provide order-book depth. The $955K traded figure adds activity context, but it does not establish why traders lowered the price or how readily additional orders could be absorbed.
What it means for prediction markets
Lower pricing, not a settled outcome: The 7.0% reading captures traders’ current valuation of Denver winning the AFC Championship; the decline does not establish what will happen.
Movement and activity are separate signals: The 3-point change measures repricing, while $955K measures reported trading. Neither substitutes for information about liquidity.
The ranking has a defined scope: Denver’s inclusion reflects a 24-hour move among eligible longer-duration markets, not a comparison with every sports contract.
The catalyst remains unverified: The supplied reporting offers no basis to attribute the decline to team news or another specific event.