Democratic (DFL)s win the Senate race in Minnesota — Peggy Flanagan priced at 89.0% on Kalshi, up 5.0 points, on $1.4M traded

Flanagan contract moves higher

Peggy Flanagan’s Minnesota Senate contract on Kalshi was priced at 89.0%, up 5.0 probability points, with $1.4M traded, according to the supplied market snapshot. The contract concerns a Democratic (DFL) victory; the pricing does not establish an election result.

According to PredictionBubbles, the Flanagan contract appeared among the upward political moves on its movers board. The supplied summary references an Oct. 28, 12:25 UTC reading, while the accompanying page text carries a venue-data timestamp of 28 Oct 2026, 12:05 UTC. Those are separate snapshots and should not be treated as one synchronized observation.

What the move measures

PredictionBubbles ranks changes over 24 hours, using probability-point differences rather than relative percentage gains. Its board draws prices from Polymarket and Kalshi and updates every 15 minutes. The 5.0-point increase therefore describes a shift in the contract’s market pricing, not a 5.0% relative gain.

The supplied page describes a ranking universe of 2,037 markets lasting more than 14 days, excluding short-duration fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid day-earlier comparison qualify, and trading volume does not affect their position in the movement rankings.

The material does not identify a specific development behind Flanagan’s repricing. It also does not establish the measurement period for the headline’s $1.4M traded figure or provide order-book depth, limiting what can be concluded about the trading conditions behind the increase.

What it means for prediction markets

• Price is not a result: The 89.0% reading reflects market-implied probability, not confirmation of a Democratic (DFL) win.
• Movement and activity are distinct: The 5.0-point rise measures repricing; the $1.4M traded figure alone does not establish liquidity at the quoted price.
• Timing matters: The 12:25 UTC summary and 12:05 UTC source-page timestamps should remain distinct when comparing this report with later prices.