Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia priced at 31.6% on Polymarket, down 6.5 points, on $127K traded

Dejan Šoškić’s chances of becoming the next Prime Minister of Serbia were priced at 31.6% on Polymarket, down 6.5 percentage points, with $127K traded, according to the supplied market update published Oct 29, 2026, at 5:54 AM ET.

A downward shift in political pricing

According to PredictionBubbles, the Šoškić contract appeared among declining political markets in the Oct. 29, 09:43 UTC crawl cited in the summary. The supplied movers-page extract separately carries a venue-data timestamp of 29 Oct 2026, 09:36 UTC.

PredictionBubbles measures changes over 24 hours and updates its board every 15 minutes using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. Its rankings reflect the size of moves in probability points—not relative percentage changes—so the reported 6.5-point decline should not be read as a 6.5% fall.

What the available data establishes

The supplied material does not identify a political development behind Šoškić’s decline. It also provides no competing candidates’ prices or contract-resolution terms, limiting what can be concluded about the wider contest from this snapshot.

The $127K traded figure adds activity context, but the supplied headline does not specify its measurement period. PredictionBubbles distinguishes trading activity from price movement and does not use volume or liquidity to determine its movers ranking.

What it means for prediction markets

• A lower market estimate: The 31.6% price records a decline in traders’ assessment of the Šoškić outcome, not confirmation of a change in Serbia’s leadership prospects.
• No established catalyst: The material documents repricing but does not explain whether news, orders or other trading dynamics drove it.
• Volume is not market depth: The $127K figure alone does not establish how much liquidity supported the move or how durable the new price may be.