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Nebraska Senate candidate Dan Osborn's winning odds drop to 24 percent on Kalshi

PredictionBubbles, reading Kalshi prices on October 31, prices Dan Osborn, running as an independent, at 24.0 percent to win the Senate race in Nebraska, down 9.0 points in 24 hours. The market has traded 2.1 million dollars over its life, with 479,000 dollars in the last day, and resolves on November 3, 2027.

Dan Osborn’s market-implied chance of winning the Senate race in Nebraska fell to 24.0 percent on Kalshi on October 31, according to PredictionBubbles. That represents a decline of 9.0 percentage points in 24 hours for Osborn, who is running as an independent.

Price move and trading activity

PredictionBubbles reported the figures on Oct 31, 2026, at 7:15 AM ET. Its reading captures a one-day shift in market pricing, rather than a polling result.

The market has recorded 2.1 million dollars in trading over its lifetime, according to PredictionBubbles. Of that total, 479,000 dollars changed hands in the last day.

The supplied report does not identify a catalyst for the decline or provide prices for other candidates. It therefore offers a snapshot of Osborn’s changing market position without explaining what drove the move.

Resolution timing

The market resolves on November 3, 2027, according to PredictionBubbles. That stated resolution date is distinct from the October 31 pricing snapshot; the supplied material does not include further settlement details.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Direction: Osborn’s 24.0 percent price reflects a 9.0-percentage-point deterioration over 24 hours, not a confirmed change in voter support.
  • Activity: The 479,000 dollars traded in the last day provides context for the move, but volume alone does not establish its cause.
  • Settlement: November 3, 2027 is the reported resolution date. Without the contract’s full terms, further conclusions about settlement are not supported.
KalshiSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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