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Dallas win the Pro Football NFC East Division priced at 36% on Kalshi

Division contract down 6 points on $1.7M traded.

Dallas was priced at a 36% chance of winning the Pro Football NFC East Division on Kalshi in the Oct 19, 2026 · 7:24 AM ET update. The contract fell 6 probability points, with $1.7M traded.

A lower price, but no identified catalyst

The decline reflects a weaker market assessment of Dallas’s division prospects. The supplied material does not identify a game result, team development or other event behind the move, so the repricing cannot be tied to a specific catalyst.

According to predictionbubbles.net, its movers tracker measures changes over 24 hours using prices from Polymarket and Kalshi. It ranks contracts by the size of their probability-point change, rather than their relative percentage change.

Reading the snapshot

The source page records venue data retrieved on 19 Oct 2026, 12:08 UTC and says its figures refresh every 15 minutes. Its ranking covers 2,020 markets lasting longer than 14 days, excluding same-week fixtures to keep near-settlement swings from dominating the results.

The $1.7M traded provides activity context, but does not establish how much liquidity was available when Dallas’s price changed. According to predictionbubbles.net, volume and liquidity do not affect the movement ranking; only the absolute 24-hour probability-point change determines placement.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Direction: The 6-point decline marks a downward reassessment of Dallas’s division-winning chances, not a confirmed change in the eventual outcome.
  • Scale: The move is measured in probability points, not a 6% relative decline.
  • Limits: The supplied material gives a price, movement and traded amount, but no Dallas-specific catalyst or order-book detail explaining the repricing.
NFLPredictionMarketsKalshi

Sources & attribution

  1. [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/

Date & time:

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