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Dallas win the 2027 Pro Football Championship priced at 3.0% on Kalshi, up 1.0 points, on $11.4M traded

PredictionBubbles' sports board lists the Dallas championship contract among its most-traded sports markets, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has…

Dallas was priced at a 3.0% market-implied probability of winning the 2027 Pro Football Championship on Kalshi, up 1.0 percentage point over 24 hours, in the Oct 25, 2026 · 8:24 PM ET snapshot. The contract had recorded $11.4M in traded volume, according to PredictionBubbles.

PredictionBubbles listed the Dallas contract among its most-traded sports markets. Despite the increase, the price still assigned Dallas a low probability of taking the championship. The supplied material identifies no specific catalyst for the move.

Volume and price movement tell different stories

According to PredictionBubbles, its sports rankings by volume measure cumulative trading activity, while its movement rankings measure absolute probability changes over the previous 24 hours. Dallas’s $11.4M figure therefore should not be read as the amount traded during its latest price increase.

At the last refresh, the board’s highest-volume sports contract concerned whether Shakhtar Donetsk would win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship, with $35.6M traded on Polymarket. Dallas’s inclusion among heavily traded contracts does not make it the category leader.

A periodically refreshed exchange snapshot

PredictionBubbles tracked 593 open sports markets, comprising 215 from Kalshi and 378 from Polymarket, according to the site. Its embedded display showed the 300 biggest by volume, with the complete set available through the full board.

The site refreshes its data every 15 minutes, while trading on the underlying venues continues between updates. PredictionBubbles publishes exchange prices rather than setting bookmaker odds; it does not accept wagers, hold funds or offer accounts. It also cautions that related contracts across venues can differ in wording and resolution rules.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Dallas gained ground but remained a low-probability outcome: the 1.0-point rise left the contract at 3.0%.
  • Volume is not evidence of a fresh influx: the $11.4M total does not establish how much trading accompanied the 24-hour move.
  • Timing matters: a board refreshed every 15 minutes may not reflect the latest exchange trade.
  • Cross-venue comparisons require contract-level checks: similar championship questions may have different wording or settlement conditions.
PredictionMarketsKalshi

Sources & attribution

  1. [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/sports/

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