Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election priced at 99.2% on Polymarket, up 70.7 points, on $6.1M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Student List most-seats contract, now awaiting settlement, among its largest upward political moves, in a political/election…
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The Polymarket contract on whether Student List – Students Win will take the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election was priced at 99.2%, up 70.7 probability points over 24 hours, with $6.1M traded. According to PredictionBubbles’ movers listing, the contract was among the largest upward political moves and was awaiting settlement.
A sharp move, with settlement still pending
The price places the market close to certainty on the Student List outcome, but it is not itself confirmation of an election result. The supplied material does not include official seat totals, an explanation for the repricing or a settlement decision.
The update was published on Oct 25, 2026, at 8:39 PM ET. The supplied PredictionBubbles page identifies its venue-data snapshot as 26 Oct 2026, 00:03 UTC, and says its figures are refreshed every 15 minutes.
How the ranking works
According to PredictionBubbles, the board compares prices from Polymarket and Kalshi over a 24-hour window, ranking changes by their magnitude in probability points rather than relative percentages. Trading volume and liquidity provide context but do not determine the order.
The board’s stated comparison covers 1,986 markets lasting longer than 14 days, excluding short-lived fixtures that can dominate movement rankings as they approach settlement. It also excludes resolved markets and contracts without a valid day-old price comparison.
For the Serbian contract, the $6.1M trading figure provides a separate measure of activity from the 70.7-point price increase. The supplied headline does not specify the period covered by that volume figure, so it should not be treated as confirmed 24-hour turnover.
What it means for prediction markets
Price is not settlement: The 99.2% reading reflects market pricing; the contract remains described as awaiting settlement.
The move is measured in points: The 70.7-point increase is a change in implied probability, not a relative percentage gain.
The catalyst remains unverified: The supplied material documents the repricing but does not establish what drove it or provide official election results.
Volume has limits as context: The reported $6.1M traded does not, on its own, establish current liquidity or how much trading accompanied the latest move.