US-Yemen ceasefire market prices November 30 continuation at 89.5 percent

A Polymarket contract on whether the US-Yemen ceasefire will continue through November 30 was priced at 89.5 percent, with 2.6 million dollars traded, according to World Monitor.

The reading appeared in an update published Nov 7, 2026, at 6:15 PM ET. It captures market pricing at that point, rather than establishing whether the ceasefire will hold through the contract’s deadline.

Ceasefire contract among the most traded

World Monitor’s live reading on November 7 tracks 50 markets across Polymarket and Kalshi, covering geopolitics, economics and technology.

The outlet lists the ceasefire contract among the 15 most traded in that coverage. The contract closes November 30, placing its endpoint later in the same month as the reported reading.

What it means for prediction markets

• Pricing favors continuation: The reported 89.5 percent price indicates that the market strongly favors the ceasefire continuing through November 30, without making that outcome certain.
• Trading activity is substantial within the tracked set: The 2.6 million dollars traded puts the contract among World Monitor’s 15 most traded markets, though the supplied material gives no exact rank.
• The snapshot has limits: The supplied summary does not include a price history or detailed resolution criteria, so it cannot establish how expectations have changed or precisely how the outcome will be adjudicated.