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Kalshi pricing jumps on Fed rate above 3.00 percent in 2036

BotForKalshi lists the move among the biggest price moves on Kalshi right now against the previous quote, in exchange data as of 4:13 PM Pacific on November 7. The contract had been priced at 70.5 cents before the move.

A Kalshi contract tied to the Fed funds rate being above 3.00 percent at the end of 2036 rose 20 cents to 90.5 cents, according to BotForKalshi. Its previous price was 70.5 cents.

A large move against the previous quote

BotForKalshi included the contract among Kalshi’s biggest price moves at the time. The comparison was against the previous quote, rather than a specified daily closing price.

The exchange data were current as of 4:13 PM Pacific on November 7. The report was published on Nov 7, 2026, at 7:15 PM ET.

What the price change establishes

The higher quote represents a repricing toward the contract’s above-3.00-percent outcome. The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst or provide trading volume, liquidity or information about how long the new price held.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The move from 70.5 cents to 90.5 cents places the contract substantially closer to the upper end of its price range.
  • The threshold and timing are specific: the Fed funds rate must be above 3.00 percent at the end of 2036, not merely reach that level beforehand.
  • Without volume or liquidity information, the price change alone does not establish how broad or durable the shift in market expectations was.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    BotForKalshi
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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