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Israel four-country strike contract draws $7.8 million in Polymarket trading

World Monitor ranks the contract among the 15 most traded of its 50 tracked Polymarket and Kalshi markets on November 6. The market resolves on January 1, 2027.

A Polymarket contract on Israel striking 4 countries in 2026 was priced at 78.5 percent, according to World Monitor. The contract had recorded 7.8 million dollars in trading.

Position in the tracked markets

World Monitor placed the contract among the 15 most traded markets in its November 6 ranking. Its monitoring covers 50 markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.

The report was published on Nov 6, 2026, at 8:45 AM ET. The price and trading volume reflect that reported snapshot, rather than a final outcome.

Resolution timing

The market resolves on January 1, 2027. Although its subject concerns events in 2026, the supplied summary does not include the contract’s detailed resolution criteria.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 78.5 percent price indicates how the contract was being valued at the reported snapshot; it does not establish that the outcome will occur.
  • The 7.8 million dollars traded and top-15 placement show substantial activity within World Monitor’s 50-market sample, not a ranking across all prediction markets.
  • January 1, 2027 is the stated resolution date. Without the detailed rules, the summary alone cannot establish which actions would qualify toward the 4-country threshold.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    World Monitor
    Publisher
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    Source URL
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