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Israel strike contract draws heavy trading in November 5 market snapshot

The contract is among the most traded of the 50 Polymarket and Kalshi markets World Monitor tracks in its November 5 reading. Total volume across all 50 tracked markets stands at 204.9 million dollars.

A Polymarket contract on Israel striking 4 countries in 2026 was priced at 76 percent, with 7.8 million dollars traded, according to World Monitor’s November 5 reading.

Activity across the tracked markets

The contract ranked among the most traded in a group of 50 Polymarket and Kalshi markets tracked by World Monitor. The supplied summary does not give its exact position within that group.

Total trading volume across those 50 markets stood at 204.9 million dollars. That figure covers the full tracked set, rather than the Israel contract alone.

A snapshot, not a price trend

The report was published on Nov 5, 2026 at 4:45 AM ET. The supplied material provides no earlier price or volume figures, so it does not establish whether the contract’s pricing or trading activity had risen or fallen.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 76 percent price captures the contract’s market-implied likelihood in the reported snapshot, not a confirmed outcome.
  • The 7.8 million dollars traded places the contract among the more actively traded markets in World Monitor’s tracked group; volume alone does not establish forecast accuracy.
  • The summary does not provide settlement criteria or define what qualifies as a strike, limiting interpretation of the contract’s scope.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
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    World Monitor
    Publisher
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    Source URL
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