Infiniti FeedNov 5, 2026 · 5:30 PM ET

Indiana data center pause draws heavy trading despite low market odds

World Monitor tracks the Indiana data center moratorium contract at 18 percent with 6.4 million dollars traded on Polymarket, among the most traded policy markets on its board.

According to World Monitor, a Polymarket contract on whether Indiana will enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027 is priced at 18 percent.

The update, published Nov 5, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, puts trading volume at 6.4 million dollars. World Monitor lists the contract among the most traded policy markets on its board.

High activity, low implied likelihood

The reported price places enactment of a moratorium on the less likely side of the market’s outlook. The substantial trading volume reflects activity in the contract, not evidence that Indiana will adopt the policy.

The supplied summary does not identify legislative developments, explain the contract’s resolution criteria or provide earlier prices. It therefore offers a snapshot of market positioning rather than evidence of a shift in expectations.

What it means for prediction markets

Price and volume measure different things: The 18 percent price indicates the market’s implied likelihood; the 6.4 million dollars traded measures activity.
The deadline matters: The contract concerns enactment by December 31, 2027, rather than an unspecified future restriction.
Trend claims remain unsupported: Without prior prices or policy developments, the snapshot does not establish whether expectations are rising or falling.

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Sources & attribution

Published: Nov 5, 2026 · 5:30 PM ET

Source
World Monitor
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Indiana data center pause draws heavy trading despite low market odds

High activity, low implied likelihood

What it means for prediction markets

Sources & attribution

Related

High activity, low implied likelihood

What it means for prediction markets