Chicago win the Pro Football NFC Championship priced at 11% on Kalshi, up 4 points, on $984K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Chicago conference-title contract among its upward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead — it has…
Chicago contract moves higher
Chicago’s contract to win the Pro Football NFC Championship on Kalshi was priced at 11%, up 4 percentage points, with $984K traded in the supplied Oct 18, 2026 · 11:24 PM ET update. According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among the upward moves in its sports category.
The increase reflects a higher market-implied probability over 24 hours, rather than a 4% relative gain. The supplied material does not identify a game result, announcement or other catalyst behind the repricing.
How the board measures movement
According to PredictionBubbles, its movers board compares prices from Polymarket and Kalshi every 15 minutes. The supplied page records a venue-data snapshot of 19 Oct 2026, 03:17 UTC, and ranks changes by their absolute size in probability points—not by trading volume.
The ranking covers 2,004 markets with lifespans longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour price comparison qualify. Its broader table displays the top 150 of 445 markets that moved at least one probability point.
The $984K traded provides context for Chicago’s move, but the supplied Chicago update does not specify that volume’s measurement period or give order-book depth. Those limits matter when assessing how much trading supported the price change.
What it means for prediction markets
- Higher pricing, not a confirmed catalyst: Chicago’s 11% price and 4-point rise document a shift in market expectations; the material does not explain why it occurred.
- Volume and movement are separate measures: The $984K traded does not determine the contract’s position on a board ranked by probability-point changes.
- The comparison set is filtered: Chicago’s appearance is within a longer-duration market screen, not a ranking of every sports contract or same-week fixture.
- The figures are time-specific: With prices refreshed every 15 minutes, the reported level is a snapshot rather than a fixed assessment.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
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