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Tate leads Kalshi rookie award pricing in heavily traded market

DOXA ranks the market among the most liquid sports markets right now on its live board updated on November 7, with Tate leading the Offensive Rookie of the Year pricing on Kalshi.

Carnell Tate leads the Offensive Rookie of the Year pricing on Kalshi at 23 percent, according to DOXA. The market has drawn 6.5 million dollars in trading.

Trading activity puts award market in focus

DOXA places the market among the most liquid sports markets currently listed on its live board, which was updated on November 7. The report was published on Nov 7, 2026, at 6:00 PM ET.

The reported trading total provides context for the market’s activity. It does not, however, establish how much of that trading was tied specifically to Tate.

A leader below majority probability

Tate’s leading price remains below 50 percent. His position therefore reflects the highest reported pricing in the field, rather than a market assessment that he is more likely than not to win.

The supplied summary does not include other candidates’ prices or earlier readings for Tate. It consequently offers a snapshot of his lead, but no basis for measuring its size or whether his pricing has risen or fallen.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Leadership is not certainty: Tate’s 23 percent pricing puts him first, according to DOXA, while leaving substantial probability on other outcomes.
  • Activity and conviction are different: The 6.5 million dollars traded signals participation in the market, not necessarily concentrated support for Tate.
  • The snapshot has limits: Without competing prices or historical readings, readers cannot assess the margin of Tate’s lead or its momentum.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    DOXA
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