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Butterfield Bermuda Championship: Corey Conners wins priced at 0.6% on Kalshi, down 9.1 points, on $871K traded

PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Conners championship contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has zero…

Corey Conners’ contract to win the Butterfield Bermuda Championship was priced at 0.6% on Kalshi, down 9.1 probability points, with $871K traded, in the supplied market update published Oct 25, 2026, at 10:24 PM ET.

According to PredictionBubbles, the Conners contract appeared among declining sports markets on its movers board. The supplied material does not identify a tournament development or other catalyst behind the repricing.

How the move is measured

PredictionBubbles ranks contracts by the size of their probability-point changes over 24 hours, rather than their relative percentage changes. The Conners decline therefore represents a 9.1-point reduction in the market’s implied probability—not a 9.1% relative fall.

The board draws prices from Polymarket and Kalshi and updates every 15 minutes. The supplied page records a venue-data snapshot of 26 Oct 2026, 02:06 UTC. Its ranking covers 1,995 markets lasting longer than 14 days, excluding short-duration fixtures that could otherwise dominate as settlement approaches.

What the figures establish—and what they do not

According to PredictionBubbles, volume and liquidity provide context but do not influence the movement ranking. The $871K traded figure accompanying the Conners update is therefore separate from the measure that places the contract among downward movers; the supplied headline does not specify that volume’s measurement period.

The source also provides no Conners-specific order-book depth, tournament position or settlement details. The figures establish a marked retreat in his market-implied winning probability, but they do not explain its cause or establish the championship’s outcome.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Price is not a result: The 0.6% reading reflects the contract’s implied probability at the reported snapshot, not a confirmed outcome.
  • Units matter: The reported fall is 9.1 probability points over the board’s 24-hour comparison window.
  • Volume is distinct from liquidity: The $871K traded figure does not, by itself, establish how much trading could occur near the displayed price.
  • The ranking has limits: PredictionBubbles compares eligible open markets with valid 24-hour baselines, rather than every available sports contract.
PredictionMarketsKalshi

Sources & attribution

  1. [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/

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