Buffalo win the Pro Football AFC Championship priced at 21.0% on Kalshi, down 3.0 points, on $829K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board, fresh on its Oct. 28, 08:16 UTC read, lists the Buffalo conference-title contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets…
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Buffalo’s contract to win the Pro Football AFC Championship was priced at 21.0% on Kalshi, down 3.0 probability points over 24 hours, with $829K traded. According to PredictionBubbles’ movers board, the contract appeared among the declining sports markets in its Oct. 28, 08:16 UTC reading.
A decline without an identified catalyst
The figures show a lower market-implied probability for Buffalo’s conference-title chances. The supplied material does not identify a team development, game result or other event behind the change, so the decline cannot be attributed to a specific catalyst.
The story was published on Oct 28, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET. The supplied PredictionBubbles page carries a later venue-data timestamp of 28 Oct 2026, 08:46 UTC, but its extracted text does not include Buffalo’s individual market entry. The 21.0% price, 3.0-point decline and $829K traded therefore describe the reported snapshot, rather than a separately verified later reading.
How the board measures movement
According to PredictionBubbles, the board draws prices from Polymarket and Kalshi every 15 minutes and ranks contracts by the absolute size of their 24-hour probability-point changes. Trading volume and liquidity provide context but do not determine a contract’s position.
The supplied page covers 2,054 markets with lifetimes longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Its table displays the top 150 of 510 markets moving at least one probability point. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify, making the board a filtered measure of repricing rather than a complete picture of sports trading.
What it means for prediction markets
Measure the move in points: Buffalo’s decline was 3.0 probability points, not a 3.0% relative decrease.
Separate activity from depth: The reported $829K traded adds context, but the supplied material does not establish order-book depth or explain which trades drove the move.
Keep the snapshot in view: A 21.0% implied probability records the market’s pricing at the reported reading; it does not establish why sentiment changed or determine the championship outcome.